Posted by
Defend America on Tuesday, November 03, 2009 7:29:31 AM
A year has passed since Barack Obama was elected and let's just say a lot has changed. There are three big racest, even if they aren't votes for president, senate, or the house. The elections for governor in New Jersey and Virginia and the special election in NY-23 all are very interesting races. I want to start off what I call the "easy" race and that being the gubernatorial election in Virginia. I call it the "easy" race because it looks like we already know who will win that. Bob McDonnell is so far ahead in mostly every poll that anything but a McDonnell win would be completely shocking. A McDonnell loss would mean that every single poll was wrong and their margins are so off, which I find very hard to believe, even though polls are often wrong. But, a McDonnell loss has to go down in the record books for one of the biggest losses since polling existed in its current form today. Just yesterday, I posted a Survey USA poll that had McDonnell +18 over Deeds. The RealClearPoliticis Average of all the polls gives McDonnell a +14 boost over Deeds.
So, then you move on to the next two races. A race that got no attention until a few weeks ago, the special election in NY-23 is very intriguing. If anybody has been following my blog or the news, you probably know all about Scozzafava and how the Republican "establishment" endorsed her along with Newt "I Now Have No Chance to be President Anymore" Gingrich. She is as liberal as a Republican can get without calling her a Democrat. Scozzafava dropped out over the weekend and endorsed Democrat Candidate Bill Owens. If this endorsement does not tell us all about Scozzafava nothing will do a better job. It now comes between Democrat Bill Owens and Conservative Party Candidate Doug Hoffman who has received numerous endorsements from Sarah Palin to Tim Pawlenty to Fred Thompson and many more. The polls have shifted a lot since Scozzafava exited and it is looking now like a Hoffman victory. The latest Siena poll coming out of NY-23 gives Hoffman a +5 point edge over Owens.
Finally, I come down to my home state, the dishelveled and broken New Jersey. What an awful time to be a New Jersey resident now. We have the highest income taxes, property taxes, worst roads, corruption is rampant. I could go on and on. Usually, at election time, it seems promising because if you don't like the incumbent, you can vote him/her out and vote for his/her opponent, but with this election it makes it a lot harder. Corzine, the current governor of New Jersey has been dreadful for New Jersey. I'm not saying that because he is a Democrat because Republicans in our current state government and past Republican governors like Christie Todd Whitman's helped the state look like it is today. But, Corzine has took all of Whitman's awful policies and made them much much worse. Unfortunately, Corzine's opponent, Republican Chris Christie is no better. If any of you are dedicated readers of my blog you would know, I truly don't like Christie. I voted against him in the Republican primary because I saw him for what he really was and that is a liar with no plans. During the primaries, it was a battle for who was more conservative, so Christie went to the right, but ever since he won, he has shifted so far to the left. In this election, you also have an Independent candidate that at one point could have played spoiler, but now most are saying that Christopher Daggett will not do that anymore. Something big happened over the weekend that might just push Christie over the top and that was the endorsement and speech supporting Christie by his conservative opponent during the primaries, Steve Lonegan. Many conservatives that were not so sure about voting for Christie have decided that they will in the end vote for Christie. This is why the numbers shifted over the weekend in Christie's favor. The latest poll numbers range from +2 for Corzine from Monmouth/Gannett or +3 for Christie from Survey USA or +2 for Christie from Quinnipiac. The RealClearPolitics Average gives the edge to Christie +1.2. It is still anybody's guess who will win and will be for sure interesting to watch.
Also, in Maine and in Washington state, there is a referendum on gay marriage. Washington state votes only by mail so we won't have the results by tonight.
You can be sure that I will be following the election on this blog and be providing any updates and results.
P.S. I know I have some readers of this blog from Virginia so if you have any information about the election that would be very helpful and I would be putting it up on the blog. Also, I am not home for this election, therefore if I have any New Jersey readers out there that can provide information, I would love to hear from you. And if there are any voters from NY-23, I would also love to hear from you.