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Maybe Obama will Forget All about Reconciliation

The same theory has been posed all day by different bloggers. What would happen is that the House will pass the current Senate bill because they are promised that the bill would be fixed through reconciliation, but instead of going through reconciliation, once the House passes the Senate bill, Obama signs that bill into law.

Here it is explained in more detail by those who are posing this theory:

Jeffrey Anderson at the Health Care blog on National Review Online explains the theory:

Don’t Leave the House Unattended   [Jeffrey H. Anderson]

All of the talk about "reconciliation" seems to have distracted people — like a red herring — from a simple but crucial fact: If the House goes first, as now appears to be the plan, and passes the Senate health-care overhaul, the president would then have a bill in hand that had passed both houses of Congress, and — whether reconciliation subsequently succeeded or failed in the Senate — we would have Obamacare. 

 

Reconciliation would then be like the exhibition ice skating in the Olympics after the medals have been awarded: interesting to some, but wholly irrelevant to anything that really matters.

The attention is on the Senate, but the battle is in the House. It's time for Americans from coast to coast to communicate their clear desires to their congressmen. If Americans don't want Obamacare — and every indication is that they emphatically don’t — now is the time for swing-district Democrats to hear that full chorus of opposition: loudly, clearly, and forcibly.


http://healthcare.nationalreview.com/post/?q=NzNkYWRlMjUyOTY5MDNkYTk1MTY2ZjUyOWJlODc4YTg=


Rich Lowry on The Corner points out that Only the House Matters:

Only the House Vote Matters   [Rich Lowry]

This is an important point. I don't think people understand that reconciliation isn't really that important except as a promise to members of the House. Even Charles Krauthammer, if I understood him correctly, said last night that he thinks the bill will pass the House but fail during the reconciliation process. But if the bill passes the House, the same bill has passed the Senate and the House and Obama can just sign the thing. It won't matter if the reconciliation process bogs down, except to those Democrats who thought the bill would be "fixed." But once they've voted, they've voted. Obama can say, "See you in the Rose Garden and we'll try to fix it next year." Jeffrey Anderson makes this point here.


http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=ZDc4ZWU1MDE5YWVlYjA2OWU4OWEyMmU4Njk4NzY0ZDY=


William Jacobsen at Legal Insurrection says the same thing:

Prediction: Obama Will Sign Senate Bill If Reconciliation Fails

Probably the single biggest obstacle to Obamacare is House Democrats who do not like the Senate health care bill, but whose votes are needed to move the budget reconciliation process along.

The strategy appears to be for the House to pass the Senate bill as is, based on the promise of the budget reconciliation process being successful in the Senate to implement changes.

But what if the Senate does not or cannot pass the changes through the reconciliation process?

Obama then has to power to sign the bill as passed by the House and Senate, meaning the Senate bill.

Has Obama promised not to do so?

http://legalinsurrection.blogspot.com/2010/03/yes-he-can-sign-that-bill.html

Even Senator Gregg points out that Obama might just sign the bill after it passes the House:

Gregg suggests Obama may renege on fixing Senate health bill

By Michael O'Brien - 03/04/10 10:29 AM ET
The White House may renege on passing fixes to the Senate's healthcare bill once the House has passed it, Sen. Judd Gregg (R-N.H.) claimed Thursday.

Gregg, the ranking member of the Senate Budget Committee, suggested that President Barack Obama may back off making changes to the Senate bill through the reconciliation process, which the White House and the Senate have said they would use to make changes to the Senate bill in order to placate House members.

"They're using reconciliation to pass the great big bill," Gregg said during an appearance on CNBC. "Once they pass the great big bill, I wouldn't be surprised if the White House didn't care if reconciliation passed. I mean, why would they?"

http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/84955-gregg-suggests-obama-may-renege-on-fixing-senate-health-bill

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